Green Bridge Learning Resource For Probability

Overview

Probability is a fundamental concept in Further Mathematics that allows us to quantify the likelihood of different outcomes in various events or experiments. Understanding probability is essential for making informed decisions, analyzing data, and exploring uncertainties in real-world scenarios. One of the key objectives of studying probability is to **define** it as a measure of the likelihood of an event occurring. By assigning a numerical value between 0 and 1 to an event, we can express how probable or improbable that event is. This understanding forms the foundation for all probabilistic calculations and analyses. In the realm of probability, events can be classified into different types based on their characteristics. **Equally likely events** occur when all possible outcomes have the same probability of happening. This notion is crucial in scenarios like flipping a fair coin or rolling a regular six-sided die. On the other hand, **mutually exclusive events** are events that cannot occur at the same time. For instance, rolling a die and getting a 3 and a 4 are mutually exclusive outcomes. Moreover, **independent events** are events whose occurrence or non-occurrence does not affect each other. Think of tossing two coins simultaneously – the outcome of one coin toss does not impact the outcome of the other. Lastly, **conditional events** are events influenced by the occurrence of another event. Calculating conditional probabilities is essential for making predictions based on given information. To **calculate probabilities** effectively, we often use **simple sample spaces** where the outcomes are easily countable and distinguishable. By understanding the total number of favorable outcomes and the total number of possible outcomes, we can derive the probability of a specific event occurring. The **addition and multiplication rules** of probabilities play a significant role in combining the likelihood of multiple events. The **addition rule** states that the probability of either of two mutually exclusive events occurring is the sum of their individual probabilities. In contrast, the **multiplication rule** helps us determine the probability of two or more independent events occurring together. Probability distributions are essential tools for analyzing data and making predictions. By studying how probabilities are distributed across different outcomes, we can gain insights into the variability and patterns present in a given dataset. Understanding **probability distributions** is crucial for various statistical analyses and decision-making processes. In conclusion, probability is a fascinating field of mathematics that enables us to quantify uncertainty and make informed choices based on data and observations. By mastering the concepts of probability, including different types of events, calculation methods, and probability distributions, we equip ourselves with powerful tools for analyzing and interpreting the uncertainties inherent in the world around us.

Objectives

Calculate probabilities using simple sample spaces
Interpret probability distributions in real-life scenarios
Define probability
Understand the different types of events: equally likely, mutually exclusive, independent, and conditional events
Apply addition and multiplication rules of probabilities

Lesson Note

Probability is a branch of mathematics that deals with the likelihood or chance of different outcomes occurring. It is a crucial concept that finds applications in various real-life scenarios, such as predicting the weather, playing games, and making decisions in business.

Lesson Evaluation

Congratulations on completing the lesson on Probability. Now that youve explored the key concepts and ideas, its time to put your knowledge to the test. This section offers a variety of practice questions designed to reinforce your understanding and help you gauge your grasp of the material.

You will encounter a mix of question types, including multiple-choice questions, short answer questions, and essay questions. Each question is thoughtfully crafted to assess different aspects of your knowledge and critical thinking skills.

Use this evaluation section as an opportunity to reinforce your understanding of the topic and to identify any areas where you may need additional study. Don't be discouraged by any challenges you encounter; instead, view them as opportunities for growth and improvement.

What is the probability of tossing 2 dice and getting a sum of 7? A. 1/6 B. 1/8 C. 1/9 D. 1/12 Answer: A. 1/6
If events A and B are mutually exclusive, what is the probability of either event A or event B occurring? A. P(A) * P(B) B. P(A) + P(B) C. P(A) - P(B) D. 1 - P(A) * P(B) Answer: B. P(A) + P(B)
In a box of 5 red balls and 3 blue balls, what is the probability of randomly drawing a blue ball with replacement? A. 3/8 B. 3/5 C. 1/3 D. 2/3 Answer: A. 3/8
If events A and B are independent, what is the probability of both events A and B occurring? A. P(A) + P(B) B. P(A) - P(B) C. P(A) * P(B) D. 1 - P(A) * P(B) Answer: C. P(A) * P(B)
What is the probability of drawing a King from a standard deck of 52 playing cards? A. 1/13 B. 1/26 C. 4/13 D. 4/52 Answer: A. 1/13
If the probability of event A occurring is 0.4 and the probability of event B occurring is 0.3, what is the probability of event A given that event B has already occurred? A. 0.4 B. 0.3 C. 0.2 D. 0.6 Answer: A. 0.4
In a survey, 60% of respondents like cats and 40% like dogs. If 30% like both cats and dogs, what percentage of respondents like only cats? A. 20% B. 30% C. 40% D. 50% Answer: A. 20%
If P(A) = 0.7, P(B) = 0.5, and P(A ∩ B) = 0.3, what is the probability of A or B occurring? A. 0.2 B. 0.5 C. 0.7 D. 0.9 Answer: D. 0.9
A fair six-sided die is rolled. What is the probability of rolling an even number or a number greater than 4? A. 1/3 B. 1/2 C. 2/3 D. 5/6 Answer: C. 2/3

Recommended Books

	A First Course in Probability Subtitle 9th Edition Genre MATH Publisher Pearson Year 2015 ISBN 9780321794772 Description This book provides an introduction to probability theory, with a balance between theory and applications.
	Introduction to Probability Subtitle 2nd Edition Genre MATH Publisher Cambridge University Press Year 2020 ISBN 9781108416087 Description An accessible introduction to probability theory and its applications.

Past Questions

Wondering what past questions for this topic looks like? Here are a number of questions about Probability from previous years

WAEC SSCE - Further Mathematics - 2022 (Click to take full assessment)

Question 1 Report

A basket contains 12 fruits: orange, apple and avocado pear, all of the same size. The number of oranges, apples and avocado pear forms three consecutive integers.

Two fruits are drawn one after the other without replacement. Calculate the probability that:

i. the first is an orange and the second is an avocado pear.

ii.both are of same fruit;

iii. at least one is an apple

Answer

They form 3 consecutive integers
let the number of orange be x, apple = x+1 and avocado pear = x+2
x + x+1 + x+2 = 12
3x + 3 = 12
3x = 9
x = 3
apple = 4
avocado pear = 5
probability that orange is drawn = $\frac{3}{12}$ = $\frac{1}{4}$

probability that apple is drawn = $\frac{4}{12}$ = $\frac{1}{3}$

probability that avocado pear is drawn = $\frac{5}{12}$

probability that the first is orange and the second is an avocado pear = $\frac{3}{12}$ * $\frac{5}{11}$ = $\frac{5}{44}$

ii.

both are of same fruit, they are both Orange or apple or Avocado pear

p(O∩O) + p(A∩A) + p(P∩P) = $\frac{1}{4} * \frac{2}{11} + \frac{1}{3} * \frac{3}{11} + \frac{5}{12} * \frac{4}{11}$

= $\frac{1}{22} + \frac{1}{11} + \frac{5}{33}$

= $\frac{19}{66}$

iii.

at least one is an apple = p(A∩O) or p(O∩A) or p(A∩P) or p(P∩A) or p(A∩A)
p(A∩O) + p(O∩A) + p(A∩P) + p(P∩A) + p(A∩A) =

= $\frac{4}{12} * \frac{3}{11} + \frac{3}{11} * \frac{4}{12} + \frac{4}{12} * \frac{5}{11} + \frac{5}{12} * \frac{4}{11} + \frac{4}{12} * \frac{3}{11}$

= $\frac{12}{132}$ + $\frac{12}{132}$ + $\frac{20}{132}$ + $\frac{20}{132}$ + $\frac{12}{132}$

= $\frac{76}{132}$

= $\frac{19}{33}$

Answer Details